BSE ID : 505872 NSE ID :
RECOMMENDED PRICE 457.95
PEAK FROM RECO 799.00 74.47%
CURRENT PRICE 730.00 59.41%
WPIL Ltd. with major focus on Engineered Pumps & EPC contracts has its fortunes linked to the economy. With improving ordering scenario in domestic and overseas markets, the company is likely to have better growth visibility going forward. We maintain BUY on the stock with price target of Rs 525.
WPIL is one of the leading players in the organized market with vast experience in Designing, Manufacturing, Commissioning & Servicing of Pumps & Pumping Systems catering to all the major sectors including Irrigation, Power, Industrials etc. The Company also provides turnkey execution for water handling projects in all the above sectors by leveraging its engineering capabilities & experience.
We recently had a conference call with the management of WPIL Ltd. which was represented by Mr.K.K.Ganeriwala (ED) in order to have better insights on the industry dynamics & company’s growth prospects. The following are the key takeaways.
Healthy Order book Position - The domestic order book position of the Company stands healthy at Rs.10 bn (~4.7x FY16 Std. Rev.) providing good revenue visibility over the next few years. Of the total order?book position, Engineered Pumps contributes ~Rs.2?2.5 bn (market share ~25%) while EPC (turnkey) contributes ~Rs.6?7 bn; rest comes from traditional pumps. After?market services contributes ~18?20% to the top - line. Execution cycle for Engineered pumps & EPC projects stands at 18?24 months & 36?48 months respectively. Moreover, the Company has outstanding bids to the tune of Rs.10 bn which is likely to open over next few months.
Utilizations to improve going forward - Slowdown in economy resulted in lower order-inflows impacting revenues which de-grew at a CAGR of ~8% over FY12?16 to Rs.2120 mn. However with improvement in ordering scenario, the Company witnessed healthy top?line growth of ~16% in 9MFY17 to Rs.1600 mn. Current capacity utilization stands lower at ~50% which is expected to improve going forward resulting in some margin improvement on back of operating leverage benefits.
Improving Domestic Scenario - Management indicated towards improvement in domestic scenario with comparatively higher tendering & improving ground level activities. Considering the huge potential in the irrigation sector, they expect lot of investment to flow in over the next 3?4 years. Many states like AP, Telangana, Maharashtra etc. have planned huge expenditure in Irrigation sector.
Turnaround of Subsidiaries - In order to pursue growth & diversify in newer products, the Company went for many overseas acquisitions in countries like Australia, Africa, Europe, UK etc. over the last couple of years. Fall in commodity prices has been one of the major reasons for under?performance by subsidiaries since majority of economies where subsidiary operates are commodity dependent. However, with revival in commodity prices, management expects economies to perform better going forward. Order?backlog for majority of its subsidiaries has improved & is at comfortable levels. The Company derives ~70% of its revenues through exports & hence revival of subsidiaries would auger well for the Company going forward.
Other Key Points -
1) Capex - The Company has already incurred good capex for its Nagpur plant & is further expected to spend ~Rs.150?200 mn over the next 1-2 years.
2) The Company is also focusing on Water management segment (mainly municipalities) which can provide good opportunities. It has bid for few projects in states like J&K, Rajasthan etc.
Key Risks - 1) Delay in economic recovery. 2) Aggressive overseas acquisitions.
Outlook and Valuation
WPIL with major focus on Engineered Pumps & EPC contracts has its fortunes linked to the economy. Slowdown in economy resulted in lower order?inflows impacting growth & margins. Also, underperformance by subsidiaries due to turmoil in overseas markets led to additional pressure on profitability. However, with improving ordering scenario in domestic & overseas markets, the Company is likely to have better growth visibility going forward. Likely turnaround of subsidiaries coupled with operating leverage benefits can result in better profitability growth. We maintain a BUY on the stock with price target of Rs 525.
For full details, Click on the attachment.
Disclaimer and Disclosure: This report has been furnished to you for your general information only and should not be reproduced, re?circulated, published in any media, website or otherwise, in any form or manner, in part or as a whole, without the express consent in writing of Sushil Financial Services Private Limited. This Research Report is meant solely for use by the original recipient to whom it is sent and is not for circulation. Any unauthorized use, disclosure or public dissemination or copying of information (either whole or partial) contained herein is prohibited. This Report does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. The recommendations, if any, made herein are expression of views and/or opinions and should not be deemed or construed to be neither advice/offer for the purpose of purchase or sale of any securities mentioned herein. Past performance is not a guide for future performance, future returns are not guaranteed. Opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice. Investor should rely on information/data arising out of their own investigations. Investors are advised to seek independent professional advice and arrive at an informed trading/investment decision before executing any trades or making any investments. The price and value of the investments referred to in this material and the income from them may go down as well as up, and investor may realize losses on any investments. This Report has been prepared on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data and other sources believed by us to be reliable. Sushil Financial Services Private Limited or its directors, employees, affiliates or representatives do not assume any responsibility for, or warrant the accuracy, completeness, adequacy and reliability of such information / opinions / views. None of the directors, employees, affiliates or representatives of company shall be liable for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, consequential, punitive or exemplary damages/loss etc whatsoever from the information/opinions/views contained in this Report and investors are requested to use the information contained at their risk. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this Report. Sushil Financial Services Private Limited (SFSPL) and its connected companies, and their respective Directors, Officers and employees or their relative, may have a long or short position in the subject companies mentioned in the report and it may not be construed as potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts company’s price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamental analysis. SFPSL has different business segments/Divisions with independent research separated by Chinese walls catering to different set of customers having various objectives, risk profiles, investment horizon, etc. and therefore may at times have different contrary views on stocks sector and markets. Research Report may differ between SFSPL’s RAs on account of differences in research methodology, personal judgment and difference in time horizons for which recommendations are made. User should keep this risk in mind and not hold ? SFSPL, its employees and associates responsible for any losses, damages of any type whatsoever. This Report is not intended to be a complete statement or summary of the securities, market or developments referred to in this document. SFSPL or its affiliates or employees are under no obligation to update the information. SFSPL or its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible and liable for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. SFSPL or its affiliates and/or its employees may have financial interest in the subject companies. SFSPL or its affiliates and/or employees may have beneficial ownership of one per cent or more securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report. SFSPL or its associates or its Research Analyst have not received any compensation or other benefits from the subject companies or third party in connection with the research report. SFSPL/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relatives may have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report SFSPL/its Associates/ Research Analyst/ his Relatives have not managed or co?managed public offering of securities, have not received compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services, have not received any compensation for product or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject companies in the last twelve months. There are no material disciplinary action that been taken by any regulatory authority impacting equity research analysis activities.